Two Studies Find Major Issues with Soon to Be Released Census Data Due to Differential Privacy

Two Studies Find Major Issues with Soon to Be Released Census Data Due to Differential Privacy

A team of researchers at Harvard University and a separate team at the University of Minnesota have published reports offering a troubling assessment of the U.S. Census Bureau's use of differential privacy or disclosure avoidance system (DAS) to block would-be hackers from identifying the personal information of everyone who participated in the 2020 census. In short, both conclude that the soon-to-be-released census data will not be accurate enough for redistricting. Read both studies here: Harvard Study. University of Minnesota Study. These reports and others are responses solicited by the Census Bureau in its effort to promote transparency and obtain feedback…
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Election Data Services Report Gives Context to 2020 Apportionment Results

Election Data Services Report Gives Context to 2020 Apportionment Results

Every 10 years the U.S. Census apportionment numbers are presented and every 10 years Election Data Services (EDS) releases a comprehensive analysis of the apportionment numbers giving us a contextual view of what they mean and how the numbers affect electoral politics in the U.S. This year's EDS analysis is particularly intriguing. Here are some of the highlights. Read the full report here. States that Just Missed an Additional Seat and States that Just Barely Held on to an Existing Seat: Under the Equal Proportions method of apportionment (which has been in use since the early 20th century), each state…
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MALDEF: Civil Rights, Good Government Groups, and Experts, Decry Attempts to Use ACS Data as the Primary Basis for Redistricting

MALDEF: Civil Rights, Good Government Groups, and Experts, Decry Attempts to Use ACS Data as the Primary Basis for Redistricting

A Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund (MALDEF) press release denounces the use of survey data from the U.S. Census Bureau as an alternate basis to draw redistricting maps. Various civil rights organizations and experts have released a joint statement expressing concerns about the practice. Read the press release and statement below. PRESS RELEASE Washington, DC – Today, more than 55 civil and human rights groups and expert individuals released a statement to warn against inappropriate uses of data from the American Community Survey (ACS) for the purposes of redistricting. Led by Advancing Justice – AAJC, MALDEF (Mexican American Legal Defense and…
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2020 Census Apportionment Results Delivered to the President

2020 Census Apportionment Results Delivered to the President

The U.S. Census Bureau issued this press release today in addition to holding a press conference announcing the official apportionment results from the 2020 Census. Originally due on December 31, 2020 - the results were delayed due to Covid-19 and litigation surrounding a presidential order to exclude non-citizens from the count. Read the press release below for a summary of the 2020 apportionment and state population results for the states. APRIL 26, 2021 – The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the 2020 Census shows the resident population of the United States on April 1, 2020, was 331,449,281. The U.S. resident…
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U.S. Census Apportionment Results Are in. Here is the Data

U.S. Census Apportionment Results Are in. Here is the Data

Today the U.S. Census Bureau announced the official apportionment results from the 2020 census. A press release detailing the data is below. In a press conference, the bureau announced that 7 U.S. House seats changed hands between states with Texas being the biggest gainer adding two additional seats. See the press release below for PDFs and data tables of the results. April 26, 2021: 2020 Census Apportionment Results Apportionment is the process of dividing the 435 memberships, or seats, in the U.S. House of Representatives among the 50 states. At the conclusion of each decennial census, the results are used…
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Census Bureau Releases Quality Indicators on 2020 Census

Census Bureau Releases Quality Indicators on 2020 Census

Press Release: APRIL 26, 2021 — Today the U.S. Census Bureau released information about the quality of the 2020 Census from two methods: (1) analyses that compare the first census results to other ways of measuring the population, and (2) metrics that provide insight into the census operations. The Census Bureau accelerated plans for releasing this information because of increased interest in how COVID-19 and its impact on operations may have impacted the quality of the 2020 Census. This is the first time that the Census Bureau has released such detailed analyses and operational quality metrics on the same day as…
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Census Bureau: New Demonstration Data Will Feature Higher Privacy-loss Budget, Satisfies Redistricting Accuracy Target

Census Bureau: New Demonstration Data Will Feature Higher Privacy-loss Budget, Satisfies Redistricting Accuracy Target

On Monday, the U.S. Census Bureau announced that it has decided on the precise algorithm for its disclosure avoidance tool / differential privacy method. In short, the algorithm used to inject "noise" in the raw census data to protect privacy, will be set to inject a significantly lower level of noise into the data in comparison to previous samples released to the data user community over the past 18 months. Read the detailed release below: Press Release - April 19, 2021: Based on the results of over 600 experimental data runs to optimize and tune the parameters of the new…
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U.S. Census Bureau Releases Bulletin to Allay Fears and Explain its Testing Strategy for Differential Privacy

U.S. Census Bureau Releases Bulletin to Allay Fears and Explain its Testing Strategy for Differential Privacy

This week, the U.S. Census Bureau released a bulletin that sounds a lot like it is a response to a report released by MALDEF and other civil rights groups earlier in the week. That report warns that the Bureau's application of differential privacy (DP) statistical techniques that alter census redistricting data to protect privacy, is likely to frustrate implementation of the Voting Rights Act during the redistricting process, ultimately disenfranchising minority voters. In particular, the MALDEF report claims that recent samples of 2010 census data treated with various degrees of differential privacy (DP) techniques will obfuscate the true population count…
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Reform: 2021 Gerrymandering Threat Index by Nonprofit Group “RepresentUs”

Reform: 2021 Gerrymandering Threat Index by Nonprofit Group “RepresentUs”

RepresentUs, a nonprofit advocacy group, released an online app and 160-page Gerrymandering Threat Index report which measures each state's risk level for gerrymandering activity during the 2020 redistricting cycle. By its measure, 35 states have an extreme or high threat of gerrymandering or 70% of the nation, including over 188 million Americans. The index measures a state's likelihood that it will enact "gerrymandered" maps based on several factors including whether politicians draw maps, how transparent the process is, the robustness of legal criteria, the likelihood of partisan line-drawing, and how difficult maps are to challenge in court. Browse the risk…
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